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Jacques's avatar

I think this argument is broadly half-right, in that you lay out the reasons why, ceteris paribus, we should believe that the left is likelier to be correct on a wide variety of issues. However, I think there are absolutely certain circumstances in which we should distrust some or all of the conclusions of a faction or party whether it is on the right or the left, which your argument misses because, I think, there are some issues.

For reference, I'm going to restate your four basic propositions here, in your words:

1. The left has a strong and broad tendency to favour the interests of the relatively powerless, whereas the right has a strong and broad tendency to favour the interests of the relatively powerful.

2. Generally speaking, the unfulfilled desires of the powerless have greater urgency than the unfulfilled desires of the powerful. Part of what it means to be powerful is the capacity to fulfill one’s own desires.

3. So, from a preference utilitarian perspective, we have good prima facie reasons to favour the unfulfilled desires of the weak.

4. Therefore, from a preference utilitarian perspective, there are good prima facie reasons to think that the left is more correct than the right, because, and insofar as it favours the weak.

Arguments (2) and (3) are more-or-less entirely correct for the reasons your outlined, so I'm going to leave them alone. But I think (1) is only half-right and (4) involves a big inferential leap that I don't think is justified and in fact quite problematic.

RE: (1), there are two issues. The first comes about by trying to broadly categorize politics as "left" versus "right." To see the problem with this, we have to go back to how the classical republicans understood political conflict and constitutions. The Greeks generally held that republics could have one of three constitutions: democracy, oligarchy, and tyranny. They very clearly distinguished tyranny from both monarchy and oligarchy - during the Peloponnesian War, when the Plataeans lambasted the Thebans for siding with the Persians during their invasion, the Thebans - who were then an oligarchy - defended themselves by claiming that they were, at the time of the Persian War, under a tyranny.

The Greeks had a very cyclical view of the world, and different Greek thinkers had different ideas of how these three forms of government would rotate or develop. If we skip ahead to the Italian Renaissance, we get Machiavelli, who in the Prince says that politics is essentially a struggle between the people (democracy) and the nobles (oligarchy) and that tyranny comes about when one faction, fearing the other's power, rallies behind a strongman/strongmen so they can overwhelm the enemy.

"Horseshoe theory" is very imprecise and unfairly claims that extreme leftists are basically identical to extreme rightists, which is obviously ridiculous, but it does aim at some truth about politics; namely that both the left and the right (democracy and oligarchy) have pro-tyranny and anti-tyranny wings; the claim that revolutionary socialism is the *pro-tyranny wing of the left in the same sense that fascism is the pro-tyranny wing of the right* is very much reflected in the historical record of socialist movements. It's also reflected in psychological research; see Costello et al 2022. Therefore, our schedule of credence towards various political tendencies should be Liberalism/reformist socialism > revolutionary socialism = conservatives > fascists. People who desire power and domination over others can *use popular discontent to establish a tyranny*.

The second issue with (1) is that the world isn't neatly divided between the powerful and the powerless; basically all economic actors in complex capitalist societies are part rentier and part exploited; political factions are therefore coalitions of rentiers. Since rent-seeking produces deadweight loss, it should be theoretically possible for the state to confiscate all monopolies and use the recovered surplus to buy off the rent seekers. But if a party ran on exactly that platform, it would get approximately 0% of the vote - perhaps due to risk aversion, coordination issues, what have you. The left and the right are both necessarily hypocritical - rightists will complain about union rent seeking and then simultaneously support private land tenure. Leftists complain about employer monopsony power, but then DSA chapters all over the US oppose YIMBYism, thereby siding with homeowner cartels.

Proposition (4) is a big inferential leap because it is possible for the powerful to be objectively correct on a given issue, and the powerless afraid to admit it, because it could contribute to a justification. The classical argument for oligarchy is that a wise aristocracy is better at governing than the average illiterate peasant - it's probably not *wrong*, but it's a dangerous thing to admit if you're a peasant whose rights and liberties are always challenged by the nobility.

Another issue with (4) is that elite beliefs have a dual purpose: ideology and governing. Elites want to justify their power, sure, but people who are in power have incentives to actually be correct about social reality. If mainstream economics is completely fake, then businesses and governments who use it to model the economy and make decisions accordingly are costing stockholders & stakeholders a lot of money! But if a Marxist youtuber is wrong about Labor Theory of Value or the Declining Rate of Profit, nothing bad will happen to him.

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In sum, you're basically correct that ceteris paribus you should trust people on the left more than people on the right. But it's very easy to take this argument too far are there are plenty of potential "failure modes" for people who stand on the left/for democracy/for the powerless.

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Anna Eplin's avatar

I’m one of the “ordinary people,” but since you say folk ideas do have a place in political philosophy, I’ll chime in to say that I’ve long had a guess that whenever there are two sides vehemently opposed on an issue, the issue is likely much more complex than either side tends to think. This sounds somewhat in line with Joshi.

BUT this whole cult-of-Trumpism thing has felt like a huge exception to that general principle, and your article here helps me flesh that out in my mind, especially the point about SDO. The mindset of the right these days seems absurdly simplistic.

Coming from my background of fundamentalist Christianity in the Bible belt, I tend to think the Trump cult is rooted in people’s indoctrination in right-wing ideology and tribalism, more than anything else (such as personality or thoughtfully chosen values about protecting the interests of the strong vs. the weak).

But I’m very interested in all your points and arguments, and I’ll be rereading to further absorb them. Thank you for your work!

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